Humans Are Speeding Extinction and Altering the Natural World at an ‘Unprecedented’ Pace
The 1,500-page report, compiled by hundreds of international experts and based on thousands of scientific studies, is the most exhaustive look yet at the decline in biodiversity across the globe and the dangers that creates for human civilization. A , which was approved by representatives from the United States and 131 other countries, was released Monday in Paris. The full report is set to be published this year. Its conclusions are stark. In most major land habitats, from the savannas of Africa to the rain forests of South America, the average abundance of native plant and animal life has fallen by 20 percent or more, mainly over the past century. With the human population passing 7 billion, activities like farming, logging, poaching, fishing and mining are altering the natural world at a rate unprecedented in human history. At the same time, a new threat has emerged: Global warming has become a major driver of , the assessment found, by shifting or shrinking the local climates that many mammals, , insects, fish and plants evolved to survive in. When combined with the other ways humans are damaging the environment, is now pushing a growing number of species, , closer to extinction. As a result, biodiversity loss is projected to accelerate through 2050, particularly in the tropics, unless countries drastically step up their conservation efforts. The report is not the first to paint a grim portrait of Earths ecosystems. But it goes further by detailing how closely human well-being is intertwined with the fate of other species. For a long time, people just thought of biodiversity as saving nature for its own sake, said Robert Watson, chair of the which conducted the assessment at the request of national governments. But this report makes clear the links between biodiversity and nature and things like food security and clean water in both rich and poor countries. A that, in the Americas, nature provides some $24 trillion of non-monetized benefits to humans each year. The Amazon rain forest absorbs immense quantities of carbon dioxide and helps slow the pace of global warming. Wetlands purify drinking water. Coral reefs sustain tourism and fisheries in the Caribbean. Exotic tropical plants form the basis of a variety of medicines. But as these natural landscapes wither and become less biologically rich, the services they can provide to humans have been dwindling. Humans are producing more food than ever, but land degradation is already harming agricultural productivity on 23 percent of the planets land area, the new report said. The decline of wild bees and other insects that help pollinate fruits and vegetables is putting up to $577 billion in annual crop production at risk. The loss of mangrove forests and coral reefs along coasts could expose up to 300 million people to increased risk of flooding. The authors note that the devastation of nature has become so severe that piecemeal efforts to individual species or to set up wildlife refuges will no longer be sufficient. Instead, they call for transformative changes that include curbing wasteful consumption, slimming down agricultures environmental footprint and cracking down on illegal logging and fishing. Its no longer enough to focus just on environmental policy, said Sandra M. Diaz, a lead author of the study and an ecologist at the National University of Cordoba in Argentina. We need to build biodiversity considerations into trade and infrastructure decisions, the way that health or human rights are built into every aspect of social and economic decision-making. Scientists have cataloged only a fraction of living creatures, some 1.3 million; the report estimates there may be as many as 8 million plant and animal species on the planet, most of them insects. Since 1500, at least 680 species have blinked out of existence, including the Pinta giant tortoise of the Galapagos Islands and the Guam flying fox. Though outside experts cautioned it could be difficult to make precise forecasts, the report warns of a looming extinction crisis, with extinction rates currently tens to hundreds of times higher than they have been in the past 10 million years. Human actions threaten more species with global extinction now than ever before, the report concludes, estimating that around 1 million species already face extinction, many within decades, unless action is taken. Unless nations step up their efforts to protect what natural habitats are left, they could witness the disappearance of 40 percent of amphibian species, one-third of marine mammals and one-third of reef-forming corals. More than 500,000 land species, the report said, do not have enough natural habitat left to ensure their long-term survival. Over the past 50 years, global biodiversity loss has primarily been driven by activities like the clearing of forests for farmland, the expansion of roads and cities, logging, hunting, overfishing, water pollution and the transport of invasive species around the globe. In Indonesia, the replacement of rain forest with palm oil plantations has ravaged the habitat of critically endangered orangutans and Sumatran tigers. In Mozambique, ivory poachers between 2009 and 2011 alone. In Argentina and Chile, the introduction of the North American beaver in the 1940s (though it has also helped other species thrive, including the Magellanic woodpecker). All told, three-quarters of the worlds land area has been significantly altered by people, the report found, and 85 percent of the worlds wetlands have vanished since the 18th century. And with humans continuing to burn fossil fuels for energy, global warming . Roughly 5 percent of species worldwide are threatened with climate-related extinction if global average temperatures rise 2 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels, the report concluded. (The world has already warmed 1 degree.) If climate change were the only problem we were facing, a lot of species could probably move and adapt, Richard Pearson, an ecologist at the University College of London, said. But when populations are already small and losing genetic diversity, when natural landscapes are already fragmented, when plants and animals cant move to find newly suitable habitats, then we have a real threat on our hands. The dwindling number of species will not just make the world a less colorful or wondrous place, the report noted. It also poses risks to people. Today, humans are relying on significantly fewer varieties of plants and animals to produce food. Of the 6,190 domesticated mammal breeds used in agriculture, more than 559 have gone extinct and 1,000 more are threatened. That means the food system is becoming less resilient against pests and diseases. And it could become harder in the future to breed new, hardier crops and livestock to cope with the extreme heat and drought that climate change will bring. Most of natures contributions are not fully replaceable, the report said. Biodiversity loss can permanently reduce future options, such as wild species that might be domesticated as new crops and be used for genetic improvement. The report does contain glimmers of hope. When governments have acted forcefully to protect threatened species, such as the Arabian oryx or the Seychelles magpie robin, they have managed to fend off extinction in many cases. And nations have protected more than 15 percent of the worlds land and 7 percent of its oceans by setting up nature reserves and wilderness areas. Still, only a fraction of the most important areas for biodiversity have been protected, and many nature reserves poorly enforce prohibitions against poaching, logging or illegal fishing. Climate change could also undermine existing wildlife refuges by shifting the geographic ranges of species that currently live within them. So, in addition to advocating the expansion of protected areas, the authors outline a vast array of changes aimed at limiting the drivers of biodiversity loss. Farmers and ranchers would have to adopt new techniques . Consumers in wealthy countries would have to waste less food and become more efficient in their use of natural resources. Governments around the world would have to strengthen and enforce environmental laws, cracking down on illegal logging and fishing and reducing the flow of heavy metals and untreated wastewater into the environment. The authors also note that efforts to limit global warming will be critical, although they caution that the development of biofuels to reduce emissions could end up harming biodiversity by further destroying forests. None of this will be easy, especially since many developing countries face pressure to exploit their natural resources as they try to lift themselves out of poverty. But, by detailing the benefits that nature can provide to people, and by trying to quantify what is lost when biodiversity plummets, the scientists behind the assessment are hoping to help governments strike a more careful balance between economic development and conservation. You cant just tell leaders in Africa that there cant be any development and that we should turn the whole continent into a national park, said Emma Archer, who led . But we can show that there are trade-offs, that if you dont take into account the value that nature provides, then ultimately human well-being will be compromised. In the next two years, diplomats from around the world will gather for several meetings under the Convention on Biological Diversity, a global treaty, . Yet even in the new reports most optimistic scenario, through 2050 the worlds nations would only slow the decline of biodiversity not stop it. At this point, said Jake Rice, a fisheries scientist who led an earlier report on biodiversity in the Americas, our options are all about damage control. For more news on climate and the environment, . is a climate reporter specializing in policy and technology efforts to cut carbon dioxide emissions. At The Times, he has also covered international climate talks and the changing energy landscape in the United States.