Where the World Is (and Isn’t) Making Progress on Climate Change

How global emissions are projected to change 50 gigatons CO -eq. 40 Historical emissions Projected emissions Likely range 30 20 10 1990 2020 2050 2100 How global emissions are projected to change 50 gigatons CO -eq. 40 Likely range Historical emissions Projected emissions 30 20 10 1990 2020 2050 2100 Source: Rhodium Group Note: Data reflects net emissions. Historical emissions are available through 2021. and To tackle dangerous global warming, countries have started to clean up their power plants and cars. But emissions from heavy industry like cement, steel or chemical factories have been harder to curb and are now on pace to become by far the worlds largest source of planet-warming pollution. Thats one big takeaway from published Thursday by the Rhodium Group, a research firm. Overall, the report estimates that the world is currently on track to heat up roughly 2.8 degrees Celsius, or 5 degrees Fahrenheit, above preindustrial levels by 2100. Many world leaders and scientists consider that much warming to be perilous. Trying to predict emissions so far out in the future is inherently difficult, but the forecast offers a rough guide to where countries appear poised to make progress on climate change in the years ahead and where they are still struggling. Power Transportation Buildings 15 gigatons CO -eq. Historical emissions Projected 10 Average 5 Likely range 1990 2020 2050 2100 1990 2020 2050 2100 1990 2020 2050 2100 Power Transportation 15 gigatons CO -eq. Historical emissions Projected 10 Average 5 Likely range 1990 2020 2050 2100 1990 2020 2050 2100 Buildings 15 gigatons CO -eq. 10 5 1990 2020 2050 2100 Power 15 gigatons CO -eq. 10 Historical emissions Projected Average 5 Likely range 1990 2020 2050 2100 Transportation 15 gigatons CO -eq. 10 5 1990 2020 2050 2100 Buildings 15 gigatons CO -eq. 10 5 1990 2020 2050 2100 Source: Rhodium Group Note: Data reflects net emissions. Historical emissions are available through 2021. Globally, greenhouse gas emissions are expected . However, there are signs that planet-warming pollution from two major sectors electricity and transportation could start declining in the not-so-distant future. In the electricity sector, which accounts for one-quarter of greenhouse gases today, countries may be on the verge of a breakthrough. Solar and wind power are growing so fast that some experts global demand for fossil-fueled electricity to peak this decade. That in the United States and Europe, where coal-fired power is plummeting, and China . Average Industry and manufacturing 15 gigatons CO -eq. Likely range 10 Historical emissions Projected 5 1990 2020 2050 2100 Land use, agriculture and waste 15 gigatons CO -eq. 10 5 1990 2020 2050 2100 Average Industry and manufacturing Land use, agriculture and waste 15 gigatons CO -eq. Likely range Historical emissions Projected 10 5 1990 2020 2050 2100 1990 2020 2050 2100 Source: Rhodium Group Note: Data reflects net emissions. Historical emissions are available through 2021. We are having trouble retrieving the article content. Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings. Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and your Times account, or for all of The Times. Thank you for your patience while we verify access. Already a subscriber? . Want all of The Times? .