Why John Kerry is confident Biden’s climate policies can survive a Republican president
As the US barrels into a high-stakes and consequential election cycle, US climate envoy and former Secretary of State John Kerry is confident of one thing: If a Republican is elected president, they wont be able to reverse the Biden administrations wins on climate change and clean energy. The economy has so drastically and fundamentally changed in the past several years, Kerry argued spurred in large part by the Democrats climate and energy law passed last year that the markets would reject a challenge to the nations clean energy trajectory. I dont think anybody elected president Republican, Democrat, liberal, conservative could change what is happening today, President Joe Bidens top climate diplomat told CNN in a candid and wide-ranging interview in his State Department office. The power of the marketplace is bigger than the presidency on (climate change) now, Kerry said. So much money has been invested in retooling and redirecting business strategies and investments. Kerry has been pleasantly surprised at the pace that clean energy manufacturing, electric vehicle and battery factories are flocking to the US, and noted EU officials are a little annoyed about generous US clean energy subsidies drawing business away from them. Our message to them is do the same thing; lets get going, Kerry told CNN. We have made a giant leap forward. The 79-year-old Kerry who has served as Bidens climate envoy long after Washington insiders assumed he would retire is gearing up for his third international climate summit this November in Dubai. He speaks to Biden when I need to talk to him and described the president as super seized by international climate issues. Despite whispers of a possible retirement that started two years ago, hes outlasted multiple staff members, visited Mexico, Brazil, Europe and Japan this year alone, and is showing few signs of slowing. Kerry and his team are actively working on an in-person meeting with his Chinese counterpart Xie Zhenhua after Xie recently recovered from a serious illness for which he was hospitalized, Kerry said. There is still lots of unfinished business between the US and China, the worlds two largest emitters. At some point, were going to travel over there and pick up where we left off, Kerry said. Sitting behind his desk, Kerry ticked off three issues he hopes to resolve with China: the country implementing its plan to cut emissions of super-polluting methane, demonstrating it can move away from coal faster and working together on the issue of deforestation. Those are the three things that are on the table as a result of the meetings that we had last year, Kerry said. Now, wed like to go further, and we think there are things that we could cooperate on. Kerry and Xie have known each other for 25 years, Kerry said. And their work together has been a relative bright spot amid a thorny US and China relationship. But the climate envoys havent been immune; China abruptly pulled out of ongoing climate talks last year after former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi traveled to Taiwan in the face of fierce objection from China. The two countries agreed to resume at COP27 in Egypt late last year, but Kerry got Covid at the conference, leaving little time for actual negotiation. China announced in 2021 that it would develop a plan to limit emissions of methane an incredibly potent greenhouse gas that scientists have focused on in recent years as a critical climate issue. Kerry said he has seen Chinas methane plan but told CNN he is not sure if they have updated or strengthened it since. Its very possible; theyve been deploying a lot of renewables in the last six, seven months, Kerry said. Im not sure whether their plans may have shifted, thats part of what we need to talk about. Though he was optimistic about cooperation with China, Kerry was blunt about the worlds chances to stave off the worst of the climate crisis. Nations are way off-track on their goal to limit warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius. No, he told CNN. Tragically, right now, not enough people are doing enough to achieve that goal. Kerry said he was heartened to see some countries, including the US, making significant progress by moving to clean energy. But there are still too many that are moving slowly from fossil fuels particularly the dirtiest one, coal. What is not exciting is theres too much coal use still and too much unabated fossil fuel emissions that are fouling the air, Kerry said. We need to move much faster to bring ourselves in alignment with the 1.5-degree goal. Kerry noted India has set an aggressive target of adding 500 gigawatts of renewable energy to its grid, even as it remains highly dependent on coal. Thats a huge goal, Kerry said. Theyre pushing very hard to try to achieve that. We want to help them, bringing finance to the table or other things. And if they do that, they would be in alignment with 1.5 [degrees Celsius]. Kerry added that it is difficult for climate models to quantify how quickly progress is being made as the Inflation Reduction Act spurs private investment in clean energy, which he called a monumental accomplishment. Thats one of the things I find really super encouraging, Kerry said. I dont think any of us who are looking at these models have an ability to be able to define, with accuracy, what the impact is of all the investment, all the private sector decisions that get made. I truly believe that were in a better place than weve been in a number of years because of the changes that are taking place. The Republican-controlled House Oversight Committee has launched an investigation into Kerrys role in the administration, and the nature of his negotiations with China. Kerry told CNN he hopes his climate negotiations are not politicized. This is not a partisan issue. This should have nothing to do with politics, Kerry said. Were all looking for the best marketplace solutions, the best things that we can do to create jobs, accelerate the transition, increase the health and safety of Americans by cleaning up the air and getting rid of the pollution. Kerry also said he has been in touch with House Republicans on climate proactively, meeting with the Conservative Climate Caucus, a group chaired by Rep. John Curtis of Utah. I think were going to maybe get a smaller group together; we talked about getting together, Kerry said. Im open to talking anytime. Despite Bidens significant climate wins in Congress, the president has taken a hit among young voters for approving the controversial Willow oil drilling project in Alaska earlier this year. While Kerry reiterated that the Biden administration was legally hamstrung by previously contracts with oil company ConocoPhillips, he encouraged youth activists and voters to look at the bigger picture of the administrations climate progress. Look at the difference between Donald Trump, if thats the nominee, or any other Republican who havent stepped up in this issue, and what the Biden administration is doing, Kerry said. And dont let the perfect be the enemy of the good. But the Vietnam veteran and former anti-war activist added he sympathized with young people and encouraged them to continue to speak up. I understand the feelings people have about Willow; there is an appearance of a contradiction because you see some drilling possibilities even as youre trying to move away from dependency on unabated fossil fuels, Kerry said. Wherever I go, I ask young people, Look, lets be more militant, all of us. Weve got to go out and demand more, push for more, and dont take less-than for an answer.